Match Info

Date: 9 January 2021, Saturday


	Hamilton Academical		Team Wellington

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.2
	2.63	3.3	2.17
	2.75	3.55	2.27
	2.87	3.65	2.37
	2.75	3.4	2.25
	2.67	3.78	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.05)	3.53 ↓ (3.96)	2.25 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
33.5%

Draw
25.9%

Team Wellington
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

22.7%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

15.9%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Team Wellington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Team Wellington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamilton Academical, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Team Wellington than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Team Wellington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hamilton Academical - Team Wellington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Football Championship (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Football Championship (Play Offs)).

Hamilton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Team Wellington is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Team Wellington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Team Wellington will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamilton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Premier League
09.01.21	Kilmarnock - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
02.01.21	Hamilton Academical - Motherwell	3:0 ✺
30.12.20	St. Johnstone - Hamilton Academical	0:0 ✺
26.12.20	Hamilton Academical - Celtic	0:3 ✺
23.12.20	Hamilton Academical - Livingston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWTLL
- Team Wellington
New Zealand Premiership
18.12.20	Team Wellington - Canterbury United	3:1 ✺
12.12.20	Eastern Suburbs - Team Wellington	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Team Wellington - Auckland City	2:2 ✺
27.11.20	Waitakere United - Team Wellington	2:2 ✺
20.11.20	Team Wellington - Hawkes Bay United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
18.01.20	Hamilton Academical - Team Wellington	1:0
02.11.19	Team Wellington - Hamilton Academical	5:1
16.03.19	Hamilton Academical - Team Wellington	2:4
05.01.19	Team Wellington - Hamilton Academical	2:1
17.03.18	Team Wellington - Hamilton Academical	3:2
18.11.17	Hamilton Academical - Team Wellington	1:3
28.01.17	Hamilton Academical - Team Wellington	2:4

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