Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Kwara Sports Stadium (Ilorin)

Referee: Ayeni R. (Nga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Kwara United		Bayelsa United

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.55	6.6
	1.49	3.52	6.65
	1.49	3.56	7.3
	1.46	3.58	7.42
	1.5	3.55	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.56)	3.55 ↑ (3.35)	6.91 ↑ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kwara United
61.2%

Draw
25.6%

Bayelsa United
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

27.1%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

26%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kwara United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Bayelsa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayelsa United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Kwara United - Bayelsa United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nurudeen B. (G) 27. Adekinle S. 29. Adigun V. 14. Aimufua J. 17. Alalade W. 8. Gata A. 23. Kabiru M. (C) 7. Ogifini A. 28. Saheed O. 6. Yahaya I. 4. Yusuf S.	1. Godgift E. (G) 5. Biriduba G. (C) 10. Daniel S. 17. Ebimobowei P. 14. Jawad M. 20. Malik K. 26. Ogba I. 29. Ogundare A. 8. Yahaya I. 11. Yazid A. 3. Yusuf I.
Substitutes
26. Abiodun A. 35. Abubakar A. (G) 34. Dadong L. 30. Gata I. 5. Gbadamosi J. 16. Jimoh W. 12. Lawal A. . Ozor P. 24. Suleiman J.	7. Abdullahi R. 2. Amedu G. 23. Auwal S. 35. Clinton A. E. (G) 22. Ibrahim D. 4. Loveday S. 33. Ofem E. 39. Ogbonna E. 37. Ojobo M.
Coaches
Sanni T.	Bosso L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kwara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kwara is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kwara won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Kwara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kwara United
Nigerian Premier League
12.02.25	Kwara United - Shooting Stars	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Ikorodu City - Kwara United	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Kwara United - El-Kanemi Warriors	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Niger Tornadoes - Kwara United	2:1 ✺
27.01.25	Kwara United - Enyimba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW
- Bayelsa United
Nigerian Premier League
09.02.25	Bayelsa United - Enugu Rangers	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Kano Pillars - Bayelsa United	0:0 ✺
29.01.25	Bayelsa United - Sunshine Stars	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Abia Warriors - Bayelsa United	1:0 ✺
28.12.24	Bayelsa United - Abia Warriors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
29.09.24	Bayelsa United - Kwara United	1:1
13.03.24	Kwara United - Bayelsa United	1:0
29.10.23	Bayelsa United - Kwara United	2:1
28.06.15	Bayelsa United - Kwara United	2:0

Kwara United - Bayelsa United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide