Match Info

NPFL - Round 36

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Awka City Stadium (Awka City Stadium)

Referee: Amadi P. (Nga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Heartland		Plateau United

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.3	7.8
	1.39	4	6.4
	1.41	4.16	7.24	Watch
	1.36	4.25	7.8
	1.36	4.3	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.56)	4.2 ↑ (3.53)	7.41 ↑ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heartland
66.1%

Draw
21.6%

Plateau United
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

25.8%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

27.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heartland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heartland's performance.

Plateau United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heartland than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plateau United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Heartland - Plateau United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Ogunga K. (G) 17. Adoh F. 25. Agu S. 34. Charles E. 35. Godwin A. 26. Molokwu C. (C) 19. Nassy I. 20. Omaka A. 6. Ozor C. 16. Samuel W. 9. Suraju L.	31. Panse D. (G) 15. Abdullahi M. 24. Ebah H. 4. Hilary A. 3. Itodo D. (C) 17. Kalu S. L. 29. Mojereola S. 34. Mubarak A. 33. Osadebe G. 8. Sunday A. 10. Umar M.
Substitutes
8. Agor C. 10. Ekpo D. 29. Ezeamaiwe S. 24. John B. 14. Nkwo C. 23. Nwokocha E. (G) 21. Orji E. 7. Shimagande T. 32. Victor B.	21. Amah J. (G) 35. Ambrose J. 36. Maren D. 26. Nwadioha A. 19. Pam M. 28. Saka G.
Coaches
Amuneke E.	Mangut M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Suraju L. ⚽,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 🟨,
75', 2 - 0, Suraju L. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heartland won 1.

In recent matches, Heartland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Plateau United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Plateau United has had a series of home games.

In this match, Heartland is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Heartland won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Heartland won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heartland
Nigerian Premier League
27.04.25	Nasarawa United - Heartland	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Heartland - Kwara United	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Enugu Rangers - Heartland	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Heartland - Kano Pillars	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Sunshine Stars - Heartland	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 LTWWT
- Plateau United
Nigerian Premier League
27.04.25	Plateau United - Bendel Insurance	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Plateau United - Akwa United	1:0 ✺
Nigerian Federation Cup
16.04.25	Plateau United - Osun United	2:1 ✺
Nigerian Premier League
13.04.25	Nasarawa United - Plateau United	3:2 ✺
06.04.25	Plateau United - Kwara United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
08.12.24	Plateau United - Heartland	3:2
28.02.24	Heartland - Plateau United	1:5
21.04.22	Heartland - Plateau United	1:0
26.05.21	Heartland - Plateau United	0:0
10.01.21	Plateau United - Heartland	3:0
08.12.19	Heartland - Plateau United	1:0
07.04.19	Plateau United - Heartland	0:0

Heartland - Plateau United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide