Match Info

NPFL - Round 34

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Awka City Stadium (Awka City Stadium)

Referee: Ogabor J. (Nga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Heartland		Kwara United

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.5	7.4
	1.56	2.92	8.09
	1.49	3.5	7.54	Watch
	1.48	3.32	8.15
	1.47	3.5	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.57)	3.35 ↑ (3.25)	7.72 ↑ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heartland
61%

Draw
27.2%

Kwara United
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

28.1%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

26.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heartland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Kwara United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heartland than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Heartland - Kwara United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Kwara (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kwara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Ogunga K. (G) 8. Agor C. 25. Agu S. 18. Anyanwu P. 34. Charles E. 15. Ikwu E. 19. Nassy I. 14. Nkwo C. 20. Omaka A. 6. Ozor C. (C) 9. Suraju L.	1. Ayeleso S. (G) 29. Adeoye V. 14. Aimufua J. 30. Gata I. 5. Gbadamosi J. 23. Kabiru M. (C) 7. Ojifinni A. 4. Ozor P. 28. Saheed O. 8. Shola A. 6. Yahaya I.
Substitutes
27. Agor C. 22. Chiaha C. (G) 10. Ekpo D. 35. Godwin A. 26. Molokwu C. 11. Okoro J. 21. Orji E. 7. Shimagande T. 32. Victor B.	26. Abiodun A. . Adekunle A. 10. Alao M. 35. Bankole A. 16. Jimoh W. 13. Magaji I. 33. Nurudeen B. (G) . Suleiman J. 31. Yusuf S.
Coaches
Amuneke E.	Sanni T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Agor C. ↓, Shimagande T. ↑,
56', Gbadamosi J. ↓, Adekunle A. ↑,
56', Gata I. ↓, Jimoh W. ↑,
79', 🟨,
81', Ikwu E. ↓, Victor B. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heartland won 1.

Recent matches Heartland is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kwara is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Heartland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Heartland is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Heartland won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 0.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Heartland won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heartland
Nigerian Premier League
13.04.25	Enugu Rangers - Heartland	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Heartland - Kano Pillars	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Sunshine Stars - Heartland	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Heartland - Abia Warriors	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Remo Stars - Heartland	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 WWTLL
- Kwara United
Nigerian Premier League
13.04.25	Kwara United - Bendel Insurance	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Plateau United - Kwara United	0:0 ✺
26.03.25	Kwara United - Nasarawa United	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Kwara United - Akwa United	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Enugu Rangers - Kwara United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
27.11.24	Kwara United - Heartland	1:0
23.06.24	Kwara United - Heartland	4:0
25.01.24	Heartland - Kwara United	1:1
17.07.22	Heartland - Kwara United	1:0
25.07.21	Heartland - Kwara United	0:0
14.03.21	Kwara United - Heartland	0:0
04.02.18	Heartland - Kwara United	2:0

Heartland - Kwara United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide