Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 29

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Awka City Stadium (Awka City Stadium)

Referee: Abdullahi M. ()


	Heartland		Sporting Lagos

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.3	5.5
	1.62	3.19	5.59
	1.63	3.19	5.59
	1.61	3.26	5.93
	1.61	3.25	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)	3.24 ↑ (3.24)	5.68 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heartland
56%

Draw
28%

Sporting Lagos
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

28.2%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

27.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heartland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Sporting Lagos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heartland than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lagos than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	27. Nwoke C. (G)
	23. Adeleke A.
	2. Annor I.
	22. Durugbor P.
	3. Edem I.
	14. Fernandon W.
	35. Jamil M.
	31. Kehinde P.
	21. Lokosa J.
	5. Salawudeen A. (C)
	26. Udeh T.
Substitutes
	13. Akpesiri N.
	25. Anthony N.
	16. Asibe N. (G)
	15. Egeonu P.
	24. Emeka A.
	12. Okoro O.
	8. Ufere C.
	6. Uzoechi E.
	19. Zaruma M.
Coaches
	. Offori P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 🟨,
14', 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Lokosa J. ⚽,
55', 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, (Pen),
78', 3 - 1, ⚽,
80', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sporting Lagos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Heartland is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Heartland won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heartland
Nigerian Premier League
03.04.24	Bayelsa United - Heartland	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Heartland - Enugu Rangers	1:2 ✺
13.03.24	Heartland - Abia Warriors	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Katsina United - Heartland	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Heartland - Sunshine Stars	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LLWWT
- Sporting Lagos
Nigerian Premier League
03.04.24	Sporting Lagos - Lobi Stars	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Sporting Lagos - Kwara United	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Niger Tornadoes - Sporting Lagos	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Sporting Lagos - Remo Stars	4:1 ✺
04.03.24	Doma United - Sporting Lagos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
19.11.23	Sporting Lagos - Heartland	1:1

Heartland - Sporting Lagos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide