Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 13

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Hebburn Town		Matlock Town

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.6	3.5
	1.8	3.7	3.65
	1.82	3.92	3.7
	1.84	3.91	3.74
	1.8	3.75	3.4
	1.82	3.62	3.66
	1.8	3.7	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.45)	3.74 ↓ (4.2)	3.61 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebburn Town
50.4%

Draw
24.4%

Matlock Town
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

20.9%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hebburn Town's form might have worsened.

Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matlock Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebburn Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matlock Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hebburn Town - Matlock Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 0 - 1, Kendall R. (Pen),
78', 0 - 2, Oglesby C. ⚽,
90+6', Martin O. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Matlock have a series of guest games.

In this match Hebburn is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebburn Town
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Hebburn Town - United of Manchester	0:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
01.10.24	Hyde United - Hebburn Town	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Hebburn Town - Lancaster City	2:1 ✺
17.09.24	Hebburn Town - Whitby Town	2:6 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Chester - Hebburn Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLL
- Matlock Town
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Stourbridge - Matlock Town	3:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
28.09.24	Whitby Town - Matlock Town	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	United of Manchester - Matlock Town	1:1 ✺
17.09.24	Ashton United - Matlock Town	3:2 ✺
14.09.24	Matlock Town - Workington	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTTLW

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