Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Deva Stadium (Chester)


	Chester		Hebburn Town

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.58	3.6	4.75
	1.53	4	5.5
	1.51	3.93	5.46
	1.67	3.6	4.2
	1.64	4.33	5.77	Watch
	1.53	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.75)	3.88 ↑ (3.78)	5.17 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
58.5%

Draw
23.7%

Hebburn Town
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

24.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

23.7%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Chester - Hebburn Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 0)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Chester is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hebburn is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hebburn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chester is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chester to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English National League North
07.09.24	Chester - South Shields	1:0 ✺
03.09.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Chester	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Chester - Peterborough Sports	3:0 ✺
26.08.24	Chester - Scarborough Athletic	3:2 ✺
24.08.24	Alfreton Town - Chester	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWWT
- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
10.09.24	Morpeth Town - Hebburn Town	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Hebburn Town - Bamber Bridge	5:1 ✺
26.08.24	Workington - Hebburn Town	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Hebburn Town - Basford United	1:1 ✺
20.08.24	Hebburn Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLTW

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