Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Hebburn Town		Mickleover Sports

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	3.5
	1.8	3.8	3.55
	1.84	3.93	3.74
	1.8	3.8	3.4
	1.73	3.72	3.96
	1.8	3.8	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.71)	3.8 ↓ (3.85)	3.62 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebburn Town
50.9%

Draw
23.9%

Mickleover Sports
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

23.7%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

22.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Mickleover Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (-3%)

Hebburn Town - Mickleover Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Carrington J. P. ⚽,
17', Thompson A. 🟥,
20', 1 - 1, Adebambo G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Hebburn has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mickleover is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Hebburn is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hebburn won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
05.04.25	Hebburn Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Ashton United - Hebburn Town	5:1 ✺
22.03.25	Hebburn Town - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Prescot Cables - Hebburn Town	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Hebburn Town - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Mickleover Sports
English NPL Premier Division
05.04.25	Mickleover Sports - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Workington - Mickleover Sports	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Mickleover Sports - Whitby Town	4:3 ✺
15.03.25	Guiseley - Mickleover Sports	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Worksop Town - Mickleover Sports	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
17.08.24	Mickleover Sports - Hebburn Town	0:2

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