Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Hebburn Town		Ashton United

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.45	3.8
	1.84	3.88	3.73	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.75
	1.77	3.58	3.89
	1.83	3.66	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.66)	3.57 ↓ (3.92)	3.77 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebburn Town
50.4%

Draw
25.4%

Ashton United
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

23.7%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22.6%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hebburn Town's form might have worsened.

Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebburn Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Hebburn Town - Ashton United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ashton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 0, Martin G. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Hebburn is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ashton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hebburn is considered a favorite.

We predict that Hebburn will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hebburn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Including home match between the teams, Hebburn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Ashton Utd	10	3	3	4	12:11	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Stockton Town - Hebburn Town	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hebburn Town - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Hebburn Town - Morpeth Town	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Hyde United - Hebburn Town	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Rushall Olympic - Hebburn Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWW
- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
01.01.26	United of Manchester - Ashton United	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Ashton United - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Prescot Cables - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Bamber Bridge - Ashton United	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ashton United - Hednesford Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
14.10.25	Ashton United - Hebburn Town	2:0
29.03.25	Ashton United - Hebburn Town	5:1
08.03.25	Hebburn Town - Ashton United	1:1
English FA Cup
04.09.21	Ashton United - Hebburn Town	0:1

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