Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 35

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Guiseley		Mickleover Sports

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.33	5.75
	1.44	4.4	5.6
	1.45	4.68	5.48
	1.44	4.77	6.27	Watch
	1.36	4.33	6.5
	1.51	4.28	5.74
	1.44	4.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.39)	4.46 ↓ (4.57)	5.85 ↓ (6.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
63.8%

Draw
20.6%

Mickleover Sports
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

20%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

18.9%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Mickleover Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guiseley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Guiseley - Mickleover Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Emmett J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 2 - 0, Mbeka L. ⚽,
68', 3 - 0, Mbeka L. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Guiseley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mickleover is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Guiseley is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guiseley won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
08.03.25	Matlock Town - Guiseley	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Guiseley - Ashton United	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Leek Town - Guiseley	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Guiseley - Ilkeston	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Prescot Cables - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWTTL
- Mickleover Sports
English NPL Premier Division
08.03.25	Worksop Town - Mickleover Sports	6:0 ✺
01.03.25	Mickleover Sports - Morpeth Town	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Mickleover Sports	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Mickleover Sports - Stockton Town	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Macclesfield Town - Mickleover Sports	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
09.11.24	Mickleover Sports - Guiseley	0:1
Club Friendly
08.09.20	Mickleover Sports - Guiseley	1:1

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