Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 29

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Hebburn Town		Stocksbridge Park Steels

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.1	5
	1.37	4.35	6.5
	1.35	5.02	6.89
	1.39	4.92	6.82	Watch
	1.33	4.33	7
	1.32	4.75	7.5
	1.52	4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.71)	4.5 ↑ (3.95)	6.43 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebburn Town
65.5%

Draw
20.3%

Stocksbridge Park Steels
14.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.3%

23.5%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

22.8%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebburn Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hebburn Town's performance.

Stocksbridge Park Steels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stocksbridge Park Steels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hebburn Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stocksbridge Park Steels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hebburn Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Martin G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
87', 2 - 0, Waters J. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 0, Waters J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Hebburn is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Stocksbridge has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stocksbridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hebburn is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Hebburn will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hebburn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
28.02.26	Ilkeston - Hebburn Town	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Leek Town - Hebburn Town	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hebburn Town - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Hednesford Town - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Warrington Rylands - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTTT
- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
28.02.26	United of Manchester - Stocksbridge Park Steels	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Prescot Cables	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Warrington Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
20.09.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Hebburn Town	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebburn Town
English National League North
31.10.26	Hebburn Town - Harborough Town	✺

Hebburn Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels