Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 32

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Leek Town		Hebburn Town

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.5	1.95
	3.25	3.61	1.94
	3.3	3.86	1.97	Watch
	3.25	3.3	1.91
	3.27	3.54	1.95
	3.2	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.13)	3.57 ↓ (3.81)	1.95 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leek Town
28.1%

Draw
25.5%

Hebburn Town
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

24.4%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

23.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Hebburn Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Leek Town - Hebburn Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Leek has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hebburn is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hebburn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hebburn will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leek won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Leek won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Leek	11	2	4	5	22:23	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Leek Town - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.66%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
14.02.26	Lancaster City - Leek Town	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Leek Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Ilkeston - Leek Town	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Hednesford Town - Leek Town	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Leek Town - Hyde United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLT
- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
14.02.26	Hebburn Town - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Hednesford Town - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Warrington Rylands - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Workington - Hebburn Town	0:1 ✺
20.01.26	Hebburn Town - Whitby Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
18.10.25	Hebburn Town - Leek Town	3:3
01.03.25	Hebburn Town - Leek Town	0:1
26.10.24	Leek Town - Hebburn Town	2:2

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