Match Info

National League North - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Harborough Town		Southport

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.00	4.50
	1.57	3.80	4.50
	1.62	3.70	4.35
	1.64	4.23	4.65
	1.62	4.22	4.62	Watch
	1.62	4.15	4.55
	1.62	4.18	4.70
	1.61	3.95	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)	4.03 ↓ (4.1)	4.55 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harborough Town
57.1%

Draw
22.8%

Southport
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.1%

22.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

21.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harborough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Harborough Town - Southport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, O’Sullivan R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 17th and 20th).

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Southport could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Harborough for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Harborough	13	4	4	5	12:16	-4	16
23	Southport	13	2	4	7	13:23	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harborough Town
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Harborough Town - St Albans City	3:2 ✺
English National League North
26.09.26	Macclesfield Town - Harborough Town	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Harborough Town - AFC Telford United	0:0 ✺
08.09.26	Harborough Town - Hereford	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Brackley Town - Harborough Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTLL
- Southport
English National League North
26.09.26	Southport - Spennymoor Town	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Worksop Town - Southport	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Southport - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Spalding United - Southport	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Southport - Hereford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harborough Town
English National League North
31.10.26	Hebburn Town - Harborough Town	✺
- Southport
English National League North
31.10.26	Southport - AFC Telford United	✺

Harborough Town - Southport