Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday


	Hednesford Town		Rushden & Diamonds

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.5
	1.83	3.8	3.3
	1.88	4.11	3.46
	1.81	3.74	3.65
	1.85	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.12)	3.78 ↑ (3.6)	3.46 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
49.5%

Draw
24.1%

Rushden & Diamonds
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

25.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hednesford Town's performance.

Rushden & Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rushden & Diamonds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hednesford Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rushden & Diamonds than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rushden & Diamonds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Hednesford Town - Rushden & Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rushden & Diamonds will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Hednesford has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rushden & Diamonds is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Rushden & Diamonds have a series of guest games.

Hednesford will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Hednesford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
27.09.22	Hednesford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:3 ✺
24.09.22	Coalville Town - Hednesford Town	3:2 ✺
13.09.22	Alvechurch - Hednesford Town	1:0 ✺
29.08.22	Nuneaton Town - Hednesford Town	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Hednesford Town - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds
English Southern League Central Division
27.09.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Coalville Town	0:7 ✺
24.09.22	Barwell - Rushden & Diamonds	1:2 ✺
13.09.22	Stratford Town - Rushden & Diamonds	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.09.22	Enfield - Rushden & Diamonds	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
29.08.22	St Ives Town - Rushden & Diamonds	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
26.02.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Hednesford Town	1:0
06.11.21	Hednesford Town - Rushden & Diamonds	2:3
17.10.20	Rushden & Diamonds - Hednesford Town	2:1
21.01.20	Rushden & Diamonds - Hednesford Town	1:1
28.09.19	Hednesford Town - Rushden & Diamonds	1:1

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