Match Info

Australia Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Olympic Park Stadium (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10


	Heidelberg United		Weston Bears

	1	X	2
	1.14	7	17	Watch
	1.17	6.25	11.5
	1.13	6.9	15.5
	1.11	7.27	16.77
	1.18	6	13
	1.15	7.22	12.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.41)	6.77 ↑ (4.9)	14.36 ↑ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidelberg United
80.1%

Draw
13.6%

Weston Bears
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

18.7%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

17.8%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidelberg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heidelberg United's performance.

Weston Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Weston Bears might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heidelberg United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston Bears than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Weston Bears could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Heidelberg United - Weston Bears Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Heidelberg United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sozer Y. (G) 3. Collins B. (C) 14. Lethlean R. 18. Theodoropoulos A. 7. Fulton F. 6. Lesiotis A. 8. Aidara M. 10. Yokokawa A. 15. Dau C. 17. McGowan J. 19. Klaassen P.	99. Roebuck G. 8. Burston D. 3. Iwasaki M. 6. Hurley C. (C) 4. Archbold D. 41. Kamara M. 18. Fahling B. 10. Niyonkuru A. 12. Buswell C. 11. Archbold B. 9. Hatfield C.
Substitutes
13. Apostolopoulos J. 30. Barbanera D. 20. Bisetto M. 11. James Ngor S. 9. Jauch B. 12. Markovic D. 27. Raffie A.	2. Beveridge B. 27. Blackburn R. 15. Blank A. 1. Butler J. 7. Evans C. 32. Law C. 14. Sichalwe P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Yokokawa A. ⚽, Klaassen P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Fulton F. ↓, Markovic D. ↑,
64', Klaassen P. ↓, Bisetto M. ↑,
64', Dau C. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
64', McGowan J. ↓, Bul J. ↑,
67', Niyonkuru A. ↓, Beveridge B. ↑,
71', Theodoropoulos A. ↓, Apostolopoulos J. ↑,
82', Lesiotis A. 🟨,
82', Burston D. ↓, Blackburn R. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Bisetto M. ⚽, Bul J. (A),

Preview

Heidelberg United has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Weston Bears is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Heidelberg United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Weston Bears has had a series of home games.

In this match, Heidelberg United is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heidelberg United
Australian NPL Victoria
18.07.25	Green Gully - Heidelberg United	0:3 ✺
05.07.25	Altona Magic - Heidelberg United	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Heidelberg United - Dandenong City	2:2 ✺
20.06.25	Hume City - Heidelberg United	0:1 ✺
13.06.25	Heidelberg United - Dandenong Thunder	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWW
- Weston Bears FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
20.07.25	Weston Bears - Adamstown Rosebud	5:3 ✺
12.07.25	Weston Bears - Broadmeadow Magic	1:3 ✺
05.07.25	Weston Bears - Belmont Swansea United	4:2 ✺
28.06.25	Lambton Jaffas - Weston Bears	1:4 ✺
21.06.25	Weston Bears - New Lambton	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWW

Heidelberg United - Weston Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide