The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hume City 31.1%
Draw 26.9%
Heidelberg United 42%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
27.9%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
25.8%
44.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Heidelberg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Hume City - Heidelberg United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Engelhart Mora C. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Bramwell C. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Heidelberg United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Heidelberg United will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Hume City won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).