The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Heidelberg United 66%
Draw 20.2%
Dandenong Thunder 13.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.9%
23.4%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59%
22.6%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heidelberg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heidelberg United's performance.
Dandenong Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dandenong Thunder might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heidelberg United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dandenong Thunder could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Heidelberg United - Dandenong Thunder Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Heidelberg United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Heidelberg United will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, ⚽,
80', 3 - 2, ⚽,
88', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidelberg United won 4.
Heidelberg United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Dandenong Thunder is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Heidelberg United is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Heidelberg United won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:23. (average 2.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Heidelberg United won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Heidelberg United - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.86%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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