Match Info

Date: 28 July 2022, Thursday


	Heilongjiang Ice City		Qingdao Manatee

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.65
	4.1	3.7	1.67
	4.82	4.12	1.65
	4.5	3.6	1.63
	4.45	3.9	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (2.31)	3.81 ↑ (3.34)	1.66 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heilongjiang Ice City
20.8%

Draw
24%

Qingdao Manatee
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.8%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

27.4%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heilongjiang Ice City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heilongjiang Ice City's form might have worsened.

Qingdao Manatee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qingdao Manatee's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heilongjiang Ice City than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heilongjiang Ice City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Manatee than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qingdao Manatee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	26.3%	68.4%

Heilongjiang Ice City - Qingdao Manatee Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Heilongjiang will win (votes: 2 - 5.3%). Qingdao Manatee will win (votes: 26 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qingdao Manatee: 53.6% – 83.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Qingdao Manatee could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Heilongjiang Ice City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Heilongjiang Ice City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heilongjiang Ice City
Chinese Jia League
23.07.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:2 ✺
19.07.22	Heilongjiang Ice City - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
08.07.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:2 ✺
05.07.22	Liaoning Tieren - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:2 ✺
01.07.22	Heilongjiang Ice City - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWWW
- Qingdao Manatee
Chinese Jia League
24.07.22	Qingdao Manatee - Zibo Cuju	4:2 ✺
21.07.22	Ningbo Professional - Qingdao Manatee	1:4 ✺
09.07.22	Qingdao Manatee - Kunshan	1:2 ✺
04.07.22	Qingdao Manatee - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
30.06.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Qingdao Manatee	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
10.04.18	Qingdao Manatee - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:1
Chinese Yi League
01.07.17	Heilongjiang Ice City - Qingdao Manatee	1:1
09.04.17	Qingdao Manatee - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0
Chinese FA Cup
13.04.16	Heilongjiang Ice City - Qingdao Manatee	0:3

Heilongjiang Ice City - Qingdao Manatee: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide