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Current Win Probability
Liaoning Tieren 62.4%
Draw 22.5%
Heilongjiang Ice City 15.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
29.3%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
27.8%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.
Heilongjiang Ice City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heilongjiang Ice City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liaoning Tieren that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heilongjiang Ice City than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heilongjiang Ice City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Liaoning Tieren - Heilongjiang Ice City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Liu Weiguo (G) 40. Ruan Qilong 5. Lin Longchang 26. Deng Biao 24. Musa S. I. 19. Gao Haisheng 25. Kouame A. S. 22. Kunimoto T. 36. Tian D. 44. Chen Y. 15. Joao Carlos (C)
13. Li S. (G) 3. Li Boyang (C) 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 28. Shao Shuai 22. Ma Yujun 27. Wu Y. 7. Piao Taoyu 17. Yan Yu 19. Xu H. 11. Montano I. 20. Zhang J.
Substitutes
6. Duan Yunzi 2. Gui Zihan 37. Jiaming Z. 31. Jiang Feng 27. Liu Ziming 32. Mao Kaiyu 30. Qian Junhao 16. Wang Tianci 12. Wu Jiongde (G) 10. Yang Jian 21. Zhan Sainan 41. Zheng Zhiyun
15. Ablimit Subi 31. Daciel 18. Fan Bojian 42. Liang P. 14. Palacios B. D. 30. Ren Z. 8. Wang Jinpeng 25. Wei Z. 24. Yang C. (G) 33. Zhang Zimin
Coaches
Li J.
Duan X.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Musa S. I. ⚽, Tian D. (A),
45+4', Kunimoto T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Piao Taoyu ↓, Palacios B. D. ↑,
46', Ma Yujun ↓, Fan Bojian ↑,
59', Ruan Qilong ↓, Zheng Zhiyun ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Joao Carlos ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
71', 3 - 0, Kouame A. S. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
75', Chen Y. ↓, Jiaming Z. ↑,
76', Gao Haisheng ↓, Duan Yunzi ↑,
79', Montano I. ↓, Zhang Zimin ↑,
80', Li Boyang ↓, Liang P. ↑,
81', Lin Longchang ↓, Mao Kaiyu ↑,
82', Kunimoto T. ↓, Yang Jian ↑,
85', Yan Yu ↓, Wang Jinpeng ↑,
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Liaoning Tieren won 1.
Liaoning Tieren is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Heilongjiang Ice City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Liaoning Tieren is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Liaoning Tieren to win the game is with odds 1.54.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Liaoning Tieren won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Liaoning Tieren won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.