Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 24

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Harbin International Convention and Exhibition Centre Stadium (Harbin)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Heilongjiang Ice City		Yanbian Longding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.35	2.95	3	Watch
	2.38	2.88	3.2
	2.34	2.89	3.18	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.3
	2.32	2.89	3.14	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.4)	2.89 ↓ (2.96)	3.11 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heilongjiang Ice City
39.3%

Draw
31.5%

Yanbian Longding
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.2%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

31.4%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heilongjiang Ice City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heilongjiang Ice City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Heilongjiang Ice City - Yanbian Longding Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Li S. (G) 28. Shao Shuai 4. Zhao Chengle 31. Daciel 19. Xu H. 27. Wu Y. 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 18. Fan Bojian 14. Palacios B. D. 17. Yan Yu 11. Montano I.	19. Dong Jialin (G) 20. Jin Taiyan 3. Wang Peng 15. Xu Jizu 5. Li Da 14. Li L. 10. Ivo 23. Wang Chengkuai 6. Li Qiang 17. Li Shibin 9. Ronan
Substitutes
15. Ablimit Subi 3. Li Boyang 41. Luo D. 22. Ma Yujun 7. Piao Taoyu 30. Ren Z. 10. Tang Shi 8. Wang Jinpeng 25. Wei Z. 24. Yang C. (G) 33. Zhang Zimin	11. Arboleda V. 39. Hu Z. 18. Khedrup Lobsang 13. Lin Taijun 12. Li Ya'nan (G) 32. Ren J. 16. Wang B. 30. Wang B. 2. Xuan Z. 37. Yang Jingfan 38. Zhang Aokai 25. Zhang Hao
Coaches
Duan X.	Lee Ki-Hyung

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Wang Chengkuai ⚽, Li Qiang (A),
45+2', Montano I. 🟨,
45+2', Wang Peng 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Li Shibin ↓, Xuan Z. ↑,
69', Ivo ↓, Arboleda V. ↑,
72', Zhao Chengle 🟨,
82', Wang Chengkuai 🟨,
82', Xu H. 🟨,
84', Palacios B. D. ↓, Tang Shi ↑,
84', Zhao Chengle ↓, Piao Taoyu ↑,
88', Daciel ↓, Li Boyang ↑,
90', Wang Chengkuai ↓, Khedrup Lobsang ↑,
90+2', Shao Shuai 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Heilongjiang Ice City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Heilongjiang Ice City won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Heilongjiang Ice City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heilongjiang Ice City
Chinese Jia League
17.09.24	Ningbo Professional - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Dalian Young Boy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTWL
- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
15.09.24	Liaoning Tieren - Yanbian Longding	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Yanbian Longding - Dalian Young Boy	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Yanbian Longding	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Yanbian Longding	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Yanbian Longding - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.8 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
04.05.24	Yanbian Longding - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:2
10.10.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Yanbian Longding	1:1
18.06.23	Yanbian Longding - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:1

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