Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 22

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium (Yanji)


	Yanbian Longding		Dalian Young Boy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5	3.7	1.53
	5	3.75	1.57	Watch
	5.4	3.82	1.63
	5.8	3.74	1.6	Watch
	5.8	3.7	1.5
	5.3	3.64	1.58	Watch
	5	3.75	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.33 ↑ (4.37)	3.73 ↑ (3.23)	1.57 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanbian Longding
17.2%

Draw
24.5%

Dalian Young Boy
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

28.4%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

27.6%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Dalian Young Boy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dalian Young Boy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dalian Young Boy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yanbian Longding - Dalian Young Boy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Dong Jialin (G) 20. Tae-Yeon K. 3. Wang Peng 15. Xu Jizu 5. Li Da 2. Xuan Z. 23. Wang Chengkuai 10. Ivo 6. Li Qiang 14. Li L. 9. Ronan	17. Sui Weijie (G) 38. Lu Zhuoyi 6. Robson 5. Jin Pengxiang 18. He Xiaoqiang 39. Yan Xiangchuang 21. Lu Peng 28. Fei Yu 29. Sun B. 44. Kotnik A. 16. Zhu P.
Substitutes
40. Huang Yuxuan 18. Khedrup Lobsang 24. Li Haojie 33. Li Jinyu 13. Lin Taijun 17. Li Shibin 12. Li Ya'nan (G) 8. Sun Jun 30. Wang B. 26. Xu Wenguang 37. Yang Jingfan 38. Zhang Aokai	23. 23 15. Fu Yuncheng 1. Ge Peng (G) 20. Wang Shixin 11. Wang Tengda 10. Wang Xuanhong 25. Xiao Zhiren (G) 9. Yan P. 42. Yu Z. 2. Zhang Zhen 4. Zhao Xuebin 26. Zhongkai C.
Coaches
Lee Ki-Hyung	Li G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Zhu P. ⚽, Yan Xiangchuang (A),
9', 1 - 1, Ronan ⚽, Ivo (A),
27', Xu Jizu 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, Xuan Z. ⚽, Ronan (A),
37', 2 - 2, He Xiaoqiang ⚽, Kotnik A. (A),
42', Wang Peng 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Yan Xiangchuang ↓, Yan P. ↑,
66', Xuan Z. 🟨,
74', Wang Chengkuai ↓, Sun Jun ↑,
77', Sun B. ↓, Wang Xuanhong ↑,
77', Xuan Z. ↓, Lin Taijun ↑,
90', Lu Peng 🟨,
90+2', Lin Taijun ↓, Li Shibin ↑,
90+3', Fei Yu ↓, Zhao Xuebin ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Recent matches Yanbian Longding is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dalian Young Boy is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Dalian Young Boy is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Yanbian Longding won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
01.09.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Yanbian Longding	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Yanbian Longding	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Yanbian Longding - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City	1:2 ✺
14.07.24	Yanbian Longding - Wuxi Wugou	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 WTTLT
- Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Jia League
01.09.24	Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Young Boy	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Dalian Young Boy - Foshan Nanshi	3:1 ✺
18.08.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Dalian Young Boy	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dalian Young Boy	0:2 ✺
13.07.24	Dalian Young Boy - Suzhou Dongwu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
21.04.24	Dalian Young Boy - Yanbian Longding	2:0

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