Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 18

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Harbin International Convention and Exhibition Centre Stadium (Harbin)


	Heilongjiang Ice City		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.5	4.5	1.33
	7	4.5	1.36	Watch
	7.78	4.68	1.38
	7.85	4.57	1.35	Watch
	8	4.6	1.3
	7.85	4.6	1.33	Watch
	7.2	4.5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.6 ↓ (7.86)	4.56 ↓ (4.63)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heilongjiang Ice City
12%

Draw
20%

Yunnan Yukun
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

19.7%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8%

18.4%

73.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heilongjiang Ice City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Yunnan Yukun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heilongjiang Ice City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yunnan Yukun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Heilongjiang Ice City - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Heilongjiang will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lu Ning (G) 27. Wu Y. 31. Daciel 4. Zhao Chengle 2. Zhang Yujie 18. Fan Bojian 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 19. Xu H. 11. Montano I. 22. Ma Yujun 17. Yan Yu	1. Yao Haoyang (G) 7. Luo Jing 2. Li Peng 18. Yi Teng 22. Mawlanniyaz D. 9. Labyad Z. 10. Ionita II A. 17. Liu Yi 33. Cao Haiqing 30. Mushekwi N. 27. Han Zilong
Substitutes
15. Ablimit Subi 42. Liang P. 3. Li Boyang 13. Li S. (G) 14. Palacios B. D. 7. Piao Taoyu 28. Shao Shuai 8. Wang Jinpeng 24. Yang C. (G) 20. Zhang J. 33. Zhang Zimin 16. Zhou Pinxi	11. Chen C. 26. Cui Ming'an 32. Li Guangwen 3. Liu Yi 14. Liu Yuhao 13. Qiu Shengjun (G) 15. Shi Zhe 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 36. Zang Yifeng 12. Zhao Jianan 16. Zhao Jianbo 8. Zhong H.
Coaches
Wang H.	Andersen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Ionita II A. 🟨,
69', Ionita II A. ↓, Zhong H. ↑,
70', Han Zilong ↓, Zang Yifeng ↑,
78', Fan Bojian ↓, Palacios B. D. ↑,
78', Xu H. ↓, Zhou Pinxi ↑,
81', Yi Teng 🟨,
84', Yan Yu ↓, Zhang J. ↑,
84', Ma Yujun ↓, Wang Jinpeng ↑,
88', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Shao Shuai ↑,
90', Labyad Z. ↓, Liu Yuhao ↑,
90', Luo Jing ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Heilongjiang Ice City is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yunnan Yukun is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Heilongjiang Ice City have a series of home games.

In this match Yunnan Yukun is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Heilongjiang Ice City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heilongjiang Ice City
Chinese Jia League
13.07.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:0 ✺
06.07.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:3 ✺
30.06.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:1 ✺
15.06.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:2 ✺
08.06.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLWLL
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Jia League
13.07.24	Nanjing City - Yunnan Yukun	0:2 ✺
06.07.24	Yunnan Yukun - Foshan Nanshi	2:0 ✺
30.06.24	Yunnan Yukun - Liaoning Tieren	5:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Dalian Young Boy - Yunnan Yukun	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
23.03.24	Yunnan Yukun - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:0

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