Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 17

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Wutaishan Stadium (Nanjing)


	Nanjing City		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.65
	4.5	3.6	1.68	Watch
	4.8	3.75	1.71
	4.76	3.62	1.66	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.65
	4.6	3.68	1.65	Watch
	4.5	3.55	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↓ (4.82)	3.63 ↑ (3.46)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
20.1%

Draw
25.1%

Yunnan Yukun
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

26.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

26.3%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Nanjing City - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Qi Yuxi (G) 17. Meng Zhen 26. Liu Jiahui 27. Wang Hao 9. Yang He 22. Huang Peng 6. Wang Haoran 28. Ling Jie 11. Matheus Moresche 19. Huang Zhenfei 20. Ogbu M.	1. Yao Haoyang (G) 22. Mawlanniyaz D. 2. Li Peng 18. Yi Teng 33. Cao Haiqing 10. Ionita II A. 6. Zhao Yuhao 9. Labyad Z. 7. Luo Jing 30. Mushekwi N. 27. Han Zilong
Substitutes
2. Dujardin A. 16. Gong Hankui 15. Jiang Shichao 45. Ji Xiang 18. Nan Xiaoheng 7. Nem Jefferson 33. Sun Enming 30. Tayir Shewketjan 8. Wei Yuren 24. Zhang Yu 13. Zheng Hao (G) 31. Zhu Qiwen	11. Chen C. 26. Cui Ming'an 32. Li Guangwen 17. Liu Yi 14. Liu Yuhao 15. Shi Zhe 3. Tsui Wang-Kit 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 36. Zang Yifeng 23. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 12. Zhao Jianan 8. Zhong H.
Coaches
Cortez F.	Andersen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Mushekwi N. ⚽, Luo Jing (A),
10', 0 - 2, Labyad Z. ⚽, Ionita II A. (A),
12', Zhao Yuhao ↓, Liu Yi ↑,
33', Li Peng 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Meng Zhen ↓, Sun Enming ↑,
46', Wang Haoran ↓, Nem Jefferson ↑,
46', Huang Zhenfei ↓, Jiang Shichao ↑,
46', Ionita II A. ↓, Zhong H. ↑,
63', Luo Jing 🟨,
63', Ogbu M. 🟨,
68', Matheus Moresche 🟨,
71', Matheus Moresche ↓, Ji Xiang ↑,
84', Yao Haoyang 🟨,
87', Han Zilong ↓, Zang Yifeng ↑,
87', Luo Jing ↓, Cui Ming'an ↑,
89', Huang Peng ↓, Zhu Qiwen ↑,
90+4', Labyad Z. ↓, Liu Yi ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Yunnan Yukun have a series of home games.

In this match Yunnan Yukun is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nanjing City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
06.07.24	Nanjing City - Ningbo Professional	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
23.06.24	Nanjing City - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Nanjing City - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
09.06.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Nanjing City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TTWWT
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Jia League
06.07.24	Yunnan Yukun - Foshan Nanshi	2:0 ✺
30.06.24	Yunnan Yukun - Liaoning Tieren	5:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Dalian Young Boy - Yunnan Yukun	0:3 ✺
08.06.24	Yunnan Yukun - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
16.03.24	Yunnan Yukun - Nanjing City	2:1

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