Match Info

2nd Division - Promotion Group - Round 26

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Hellerup		Næstved BK

	1	X	2
	5.3	4.1	1.47
	5.73	4.4	1.51
	5.26	4.68	1.5	Watch
	5	3.9	1.44
	5.69	4.33	1.5
	3.4	3.3	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (3.4)	4.12 ↑ (3.43)	1.54 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hellerup
18.1%

Draw
22.3%

Næstved BK
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

26.5%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hellerup has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hellerup's form might have worsened.

Næstved BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Næstved BK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hellerup than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hellerup, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næstved BK than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Næstved BK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Hellerup - Næstved BK Predictions

Users Predictions: Næstved BK will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hellerup won 4.

Hellerup has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Næstved's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Næstved is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hellerup won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hellerup won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Naestved	10	3	6	1	14:12	2	15
10	Hellerup	10	2	2	6	8:18	-10	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellerup IK
Danish 2 Division
26.04.26	Vendsyssel - Hellerup	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Thisted - Hellerup	4:0 ✺
10.04.26	Hellerup - AB Copenhagen	1:5 ✺
06.04.26	Næstved BK - Hellerup	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Hellerup - Ishøj IF	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW
- Næstved BK
Danish 2 Division
24.04.26	AB Copenhagen - Næstved BK	3:0 ✺
17.04.26	Næstved BK - Roskilde	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Thisted - Næstved BK	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Næstved BK - Hellerup	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Roskilde - Næstved BK	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
06.04.26	Næstved BK - Hellerup	2:1
08.08.25	Hellerup - Næstved BK	2:1
Club Friendly
28.02.25	Hellerup - Næstved BK	3:0
Danish 2 Division
25.10.24	Hellerup - Næstved BK	1:0
25.08.24	Næstved BK - Hellerup	1:3
29.05.22	Næstved BK - Hellerup	2:2
18.04.22	Hellerup - Næstved BK	1:2

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