Match Info

3rd Division - Round 9

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Helsingør		Holbæk

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.40	2.05
	3.05	3.4	2.02
	3.09	3.53	2.1
	3.02	3.62	2.08	Watch
	2.95	3.45	2.07
	3.03	3.86	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.5)	3.54 ↓ (3.58)	2.07 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingør
30.2%

Draw
25.7%

Holbæk
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

25.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

25.5%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingør has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Holbæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsingør than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Helsingør - Holbæk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, ⚽,
45+3', 4 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 4 - 1, ⚽,
60', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 1st in the Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).

In recent outings, Helsingør has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Holbæk shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Holbæk holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Helsingør has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:1 (averaging 3.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Helsingør against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Holbaek	10	7	1	2	26:18	8	22
5	Helsingor	10	5	2	3	18:14	4	17

Last Results with these Odds

Helsingør - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 25.93%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Helsingør
Danish 3 Division
19.09.26	Næsby - Helsingør	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Helsingør - Sundby	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Brønshøj BK - Helsingør	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Helsingør - Ishøj IF	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
25.08.26	Helsingør - Hørsholm-Usserød	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLWL
- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
18.09.26	Holbæk - Ringsted	5:2 ✺
13.09.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Holbæk	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Ishøj IF - Holbæk	0:4 ✺
29.08.26	Holbæk - Næsby	3:2 ✺
21.08.26	Brønshøj BK - Holbæk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division - Group 1
20.10.19	Holbæk - Helsingør	1:2
06.09.19	Helsingør - Holbæk	5:0

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