Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 18

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Olympia (Helsingborg)

Referee: Nehdi F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 1, TV4 Play


	Helsingborg		Degerfors

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	3	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.85
	2.35	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.42	3.4	3.03
	2.36	3.3	2.96	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.75
	2.31	3.44	2.94	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.45)	3.35 ↓ (3.47)	2.93 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingborg
40.1%

Draw
28%

Degerfors
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.5%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	33.3%	38.1%

Helsingborg - Degerfors Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Helsingborg will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Degerfors will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.1% – 58.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joelsson K. (G) 2. Birkfeldt J. 4. Rogne T. (C) 3. Nilsson W. 20. Olsson D. 13. Loeper W. 14. Kjellnas L. 25. Hellborg A. 21. Svanback A. 27. Acquah B. 9. Silverholt T.	1. Jakobsson W. (G) 6. Moros C. 15. Moro N. 23. Heden Lindskog A. 12. Lindell E. 4. Martensson J. (C) 8. Holmen K. 22. Girmai N. 2. Diaby M. 10. Vukojevic D. 9. Lindgren G.
Substitutes
30. Arvidsson N. (G) 24. Bergman D. 22. Chika C. 7. Kabashi A. 19. Orn B. 11. Rasmussen M. 23. Westerlund W.	19. Bichis J. 11. Fisic A. 25. Forsell R. (G) 18. Gronborg T. 24. Ilunga D. P. 17. Kassi L. 21. Pihlstrom E.
Coaches
Saarenpaa K.	Lundin W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Moro N. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Silverholt T. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Lindell E. ⚽, Diaby M. (A),
55', 🟨,
55', Hellborg A. 🟨,
64', Holmen K. 🟨,
66', Svanback A. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
72', Vukojevic D. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
72', Martensson J. ↓, Kassi L. ↑,
88', Heden Lindskog A. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
88', Silverholt T. ↓, Chika C. ↑,
88', Lindell E. ↓, Gronborg T. ↑,
88', Acquah B. ↓, Kabashi A. ↑,
90+1', Hellborg A. ↓, Westerlund W. ↑,
90+1', Loeper W. ↓, Orn B. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Degerfors have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Helsingborg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
03.08.24	Varbergs BoIS - Helsingborg	0:3 ✺
29.07.24	Helsingborg - Öster	3:2 ✺
20.07.24	Oddevold - Helsingborg	0:3 ✺
28.06.24	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:0 ✺
24.06.24	Öster - Helsingborg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWWL
- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
03.08.24	Degerfors - Oddevold	2:2 ✺
27.07.24	Degerfors - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
21.07.24	Östersund - Degerfors	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.24	Degerfors - Västerås SK	3:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
29.06.24	Degerfors - Sandviken	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
23.04.24	Degerfors - Helsingborg	2:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.10.22	Helsingborg - Degerfors	1:2
15.05.22	Degerfors - Helsingborg	2:1
Swedish Superettan
01.09.18	Degerfors - Helsingborg	1:1
10.06.18	Helsingborg - Degerfors	4:1
21.10.17	Degerfors - Helsingborg	1:1
01.05.17	Helsingborg - Degerfors	3:0

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