Match Info

Superettan - Round 8

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Olympia (Helsingborg)

Referee: Alknas F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	Helsingborg		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.95
	2.55	3.4	2.37
	3.5	3.4	2.02
	3.71	3.6	2.05
	3.47	3.25	2.14	Watch
	3.4	3.25	1.95
	3.6	3.6	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.39)	3.44 ↑ (3.28)	2.06 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingborg
27.5%

Draw
27.2%

Varbergs BoIS
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

28.2%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Helsingborg's form might have worsened.

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varbergs BoIS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Helsingborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varbergs BoIS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	42.9%	35.7%

Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Helsingborg will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Varberg will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Varberg (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Varberg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brattberg J. (G) 45. Amadou D. 3. Voelkerling Persson J. (C) 42. Hyppanen L. 36. Hasselqvist J. 8. Gigovic E. 14. Kjellnas L. 10. Svensson M. 5. Bengtsson S. 19. Persson L. 9. Johansson A.	1. Ekman O. (G) 22. Dahlstrom N. 17. Tellgren E. 2. Broman G. (C) 5. Hellman E. 28. Sadiku E. 7. Arlig W. 15. Johansson N. 8. Winbo A. 12. Nioule S. 49. Borgelin S.
Substitutes
11. Akimey A. 29. Appiah Nyarko K. 6. Asoma S. 20. Hedenberg L. 18. Ljung Hofvendahl C. 31. Nordin A. 26. Sadiku L. 40. Wagnborg V. (G) 23. Westerlund W.	. Andersson O. 9. Bitiqi A. 42. Kordik M. 19. Nilsson J. 40. Selven W. 29. Strindholm D. (G) 16. Thorsson A. 20. Werner O. 3. Zackrisson H.
Coaches
Grieve S.	Salwen V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Borgelin S. ⚽, Winbo A. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Johansson A. ⚽, Hasselqvist J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 2, Borgelin S. ⚽,
64', Persson L. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
65', Hasselqvist J. ↓, Akimey A. ↑,
65', Arlig W. ↓, Nilsson J. ↑,
70', Hellman E. ↓, Zackrisson H. ↑,
71', Borgelin S. ↓, Bitiqi A. ↑,
76', Sadiku E. 🟨,
81', Nordin A. 🟨,
83', Nioule S. ↓, Thorsson A. ↑,
84', Johansson A. ↓, Appiah Nyarko K. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Winbo A. ⚽, Thorsson A. (A),
90+6', Amadou D. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helsingborg won 2.

In recent matches, Helsingborg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Varberg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Helsingborg won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Helsingborg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Varberg: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Varberg	25	13	5	7	44:33	11	44
10	Helsingborg	25	8	6	11	36:45	-9	30

Last Results with these Odds

Helsingborg - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.69%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Varbergs BoIS - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.13%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
13.05.26	Helsingborg - Oddevold	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Norrby - Helsingborg	3:3 ✺
03.05.26	Helsingborg - Brage	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Ljungskile - Helsingborg	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Helsingborg - Östersund	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWLW
- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
13.05.26	Falkenberg - Varbergs BoIS	0:3 ✺
08.05.26	Varbergs BoIS - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Brage - Varbergs BoIS	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Varbergs BoIS - United Nordic	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
28.07.25	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:2
03.05.25	Varbergs BoIS - Helsingborg	1:0
03.08.24	Varbergs BoIS - Helsingborg	0:3
28.06.24	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
15.10.22	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:3
18.07.22	Varbergs BoIS - Helsingborg	0:0
Club Friendly
29.06.21	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	2:0

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