Match Info

Superettan - Round 6

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Paskbergsvallen (Varberg)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play


	Varbergs BoIS		Helsingborg

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.8
	2.2	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.21	3.6	3.21
	2.21	3.48	3.08	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.8
	2.14	3.48	3.18	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.35)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	3.06 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs BoIS
42.3%

Draw
27.1%

Helsingborg
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.2%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

25.9%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Varbergs BoIS - Helsingborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Varberg will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Helsingborg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Helsingborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Andersson F. (G) 4. Dahlstrom N. 12. Tellgren E. 2. Broman G. (C) 24. Hellman E. 5. Winbo A. 28. Sadiku E. 13. Edlund O. 14. Alfonsi O. 15. Jonasson Westermark J. 10. Shabani L.	1. Brattberg J. (G) 19. Orn B. 4. Gudmann M. 3. Nilsson W. 5. Bengtsson S. 7. Loeper W. 6. Asoma S. 14. Kjellnas L. 10. Svensson M. (C) 21. Svanback A. 29. Aga O.
Substitutes
19. Appiah Nyarko K. 1. Ekman O. (G) 18. Lindner J. 11. Mohudin N. A. 23. Tokich M. 21. Vidjeskog I. 25. Wiklund A.	9. Akimey A. 27. Bajo E. 2. Birkfeldt J. 18. Ljung C. 31. Nordin A. 30. Radahl E. (G) 11. Rasmussen M.
Coaches
Hansen R.	Saarenpaa K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Sadiku E. 🟨,
41', Hellman E. 🟨,
42', Winbo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Aga O. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
68', Edlund O. ↓, Vidjeskog I. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Jonasson Westermark J. ⚽, Tellgren E. (A),
74', Loeper W. ↓, Birkfeldt J. ↑,
74', Orn B. ↓, Akimey A. ↑,
77', Winbo A. ↓, Tokich M. ↑,
77', Tellgren E. ↓, Lindner J. ↑,
80', Nilsson W. 🟨,
84', Alfonsi O. ↓, Appiah Nyarko K. ↑,
90+6', Rasmussen M. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 1.

Varberg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Helsingborg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Varberg won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 1.2:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
27.04.25	Trelleborg - Varbergs BoIS	0:4 ✺
21.04.25	Varbergs BoIS - Umeå	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Brage - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Falkenberg - Varbergs BoIS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWTWT
- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
27.04.25	Helsingborg - Kalmar	1:5 ✺
22.04.25	Helsingborg - Västerås SK	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Örebro - Helsingborg	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Helsingborg - Sandviken	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Sundsvall - Helsingborg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
03.08.24	Varbergs BoIS - Helsingborg	0:3
28.06.24	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
15.10.22	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:3
18.07.22	Varbergs BoIS - Helsingborg	0:0
Club Friendly
29.06.21	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	2:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.09.20	Varbergs BoIS - Helsingborg	1:3
15.06.20	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	0:3

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