Match Info

Date: 21 April 2022, Thursday


	Helsingborg		Elfsborg

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.7	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.71
	4.8	3.9	1.7
	4.6	3.75	1.68
	5.05	3.93	1.73
	4.33	3.4	1.73	Watch
	4.8	3.94	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (3.06)	3.81 ↑ (3.4)	1.71 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingborg
20.1%

Draw
24.7%

Elfsborg
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.7%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

27.4%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Helsingborg's form might have worsened.

Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elfsborg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Helsingborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elfsborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Helsingborg - Elfsborg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Helsingborg has the most likely position - 16 (22.56%), has project points - 27, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (49%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Elfsborg has the most likely position - 3 (10.96%), has project points - 48, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (6%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

This event has small quality 22, importance 33, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Helsingborg have a series of guest games.

In this match Elfsborg is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Helsingborg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.04.22	Sirius - Helsingborg	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Helsingborg - IFK Göteborg	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Hammarby - Helsingborg	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.22	Öster - Helsingborg	2:4
19.03.22	Halmstad - Helsingborg	0:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 LLLWW
- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.04.22	Elfsborg - Värnamo	4:1 ✺
11.04.22	Malmö - Elfsborg	1:1 ✺
04.04.22	Elfsborg - Mjällby	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.22	Halmstad - Elfsborg	0:4 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.03.22	Hammarby - Elfsborg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.02.21	Elfsborg - Helsingborg	1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.11.20	Elfsborg - Helsingborg	2:1
22.06.20	Helsingborg - Elfsborg	0:0
Club Friendly
14.02.20	Elfsborg - Helsingborg	4:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.11.19	Helsingborg - Elfsborg	1:2
08.07.19	Elfsborg - Helsingborg	1:1
16.10.16	Elfsborg - Helsingborg	1:0

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