The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Elfsborg 36.4%
Draw 29.5%
Mjällby 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
27.8%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
27.6%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
39.1%
34.8%
26.1%
Elfsborg - Mjällby Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Mjällby will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 19.2% – 59%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Mjällby (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Pettersson I. (G) 2. Mohammed R. 8. Holmen S. (C) 4. Isherwood T. 15. Hedlund S. 18. Magnusson J. 10. Olsson S. 19. Beck J. 23. Hult N. 21. Ostman L. 9. Zeneli A.
13. Wallinder R. (G) 33. Miettinen T. 5. Iqbal A. 2. Svanberg L. 14. Granath V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 6. Thorell L. 27. Tidstrand L. 10. Kjaer J. 18. Bergstrom J. 15. Bang-Kittilsen B.
Substitutes
28. Aronsson F. 3. Buhari I. 1. Erlandsson T. (G) 16. Hellemaa A. 24. Ihler F. 29. Kamara M. 27. Okeke V. 25. Sigurpalsson A. 11. Silverholt T.
21. Adewale I. 26. Andersen I. 39. Arrhenius R. 8. Helge T. 29. Lindberg O. 35. Lundin A. (G) 28. Rosen C. 23. Samuelsen A. 3. Tchouante C.
Coaches
Hamberg B.
Aksum K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Ostman L. ⚽, Hedlund S. (A),
14', Zeneli A. 🟨,
15', Kjaer J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Kjaer J. ⚽, Thorell L. (A),
56', Arrhenius R. ↓, Samuelsen A. ↑,
63', Svanberg L. ↓, Tchouante C. ↑,
63', Bang-Kittilsen B. ↓, Helge T. ↑,
65', Zeneli A. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
65', Hedlund S. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
73', Beck J. ↓, Hellemaa A. ↑,
84', Kjaer J. ↓, Lindberg O. ↑,
84', Granath V. ↓, Adewale I. ↑,
84', Mohammed R. ↓, Buhari I. ↑,
84', Ostman L. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
89', Adewale I. 🟨,
90+4', Miettinen T. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 1.
Elfsborg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mjällby is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Elfsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Elfsborg: Frick P.
(Broken ankle)
Richtner L.
(Inactive)
Wikstrom R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Mjällby: Noren A.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Mjällby: Stroud E.
(Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now
Elfsborg: 0.73%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Elfsborg
22
10
7
5
31:22
9
37
12
Mjallby
22
5
7
10
27:38
-11
22
Last Results with these Odds
Mjällby - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.43%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.