Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 30

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: 3Arena (Stockholm)

Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play


	Hammarby		Elfsborg

	1	X	2
	1.45	5	5.5	Watch
	1.43	4.8	6.2	Watch
	1.46	5.09	6.3
	1.35	5.46	7.45	Watch
	1.45	4.75	6	Watch
	1.37	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)	4.93 ↓ (5.46)	6.41 ↓ (7.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hammarby
66.3%

Draw
19.1%

Elfsborg
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

17.3%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

16.7%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hammarby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Hammarby - Elfsborg Predictions

Users Predictions: Hammarby will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Jakobsson F. (G) 2. Skoglund H. 8. Karlsson M. 4. Eriksson V. 3. Winther F. 20. Besara N. (C) 28. Junior Adjei F. 15. Lahdo A. 26. Madjed M. 7. Abraham P. 23. Okeke O.	31. Pettersson I. (G) 13. Larsson J. (C) 6. Wikstrom R. 29. Buhari I. 23. Hult N. 15. Hedlund S. 18. Magnusson J. 27. Zeneli B. 10. Olsson S. 11. Silverholt T. 17. Frick P.
Substitutes
17. Fofana I. 1. Hahn W. (G) 11. Johansson O. 29. Kabore M. 34. Lindberg W. 16. Persson N. 21. Strand S. 5. Tekie T. 19. Vasic N.	28. Aronsson F. 1. Eriksson S. (G) 4. Granli D. 24. Ihler F. 21. Ostman L. 20. Rapp G. 25. Sigurpalsson A. 7. Thomasen J. 9. Zeneli A.
Coaches
Hellberg K.	Hiljemark O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Junior Adjei F. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Junior Adjei F. ⚽, Lahdo A. (A),
40', Larsson J. 🟨,
45+6', Pettersson I. ↓, Eriksson S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Abraham P. ⚽, Madjed M. (A),
61', 3 - 0, Abraham P. ⚽,
62', Larsson J. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
62', Silverholt T. ↓, Zeneli A. ↑,
64', Olsson S. 🟨,
66', Madjed M. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
67', Abraham P. ↓, Kabore M. ↑,
76', Frick P. ↓, Ostman L. ↑,
76', Skoglund H. ↓, Strand S. ↑,
76', Lahdo A. ↓, Lindberg W. ↑,
77', Okeke O. ↓, Persson N. ↑,
86', Junior Adjei F. ↓, Vasic N. ↑,
88', Magnusson J. ↓, Thomasen J. ↑,
88', Olsson S. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).

Hammarby is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 3.

Hammarby is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Elfsborg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Hammarby has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hammarby is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Elfsborg: Hagg L. (Inactive) Holmen S. (Knee Injury) Wenderson (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hammarby won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hammarby IF Football
Swedish Allsvenskan
03.11.25	Degerfors - Hammarby	1:1 ✺
27.10.25	Malmö - Hammarby	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Hammarby - AIK	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	IFK Göteborg - Hammarby	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Halmstad - Hammarby	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWL
- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.11.25	Elfsborg - AIK	0:3 ✺
26.10.25	Sirius - Elfsborg	4:0 ✺
19.10.25	Elfsborg - Öster	5:1 ✺
04.10.25	Mjällby - Elfsborg	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Elfsborg - Degerfors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
31.05.25	Elfsborg - Hammarby	0:2
22.09.24	Elfsborg - Hammarby	0:0
15.04.24	Hammarby - Elfsborg	3:0
13.08.23	Hammarby - Elfsborg	1:0
03.07.23	Elfsborg - Hammarby	2:0
23.10.22	Elfsborg - Hammarby	2:1
17.07.22	Hammarby - Elfsborg	3:0

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