Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 2

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday

Location: Bravida Arena (Gothenburg)

Referee: Strombergsson M. (Swe)


	GAIS		Brage

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.9
	2.16	3.3	3.2
	2.19	3.52	3.28
	2.2	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.17	3.3	3.22	Watch
	2.27	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.91)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)	3.08 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GAIS
41.9%

Draw
28.1%

Brage
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.1%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

26.8%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GAIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GAIS's form might have worsened.

Brage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brage's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GAIS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brage than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brage, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

GAIS - Brage Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. GAIS will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Brage will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GAIS: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches GAIS won 1.

GAIS is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Brage is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brage could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

GAIS will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches GAIS won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams GAIS won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GAIS
Swedish Superettan
02.04.23	Östersund - GAIS	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.03.23	GAIS - Helsingborg	1:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
05.03.23	Utsikten - GAIS	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	GAIS - IFK Göteborg	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	GAIS - Norrköping	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWWWL
- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
01.04.23	Brage - Västerås SK	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Degerfors - Brage	1:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
05.03.23	Brage - Norrby	5:0 ✺
25.02.23	Sundsvall - Brage	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Hammarby - Brage	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
18.09.21	Brage - GAIS	1:4
17.07.21	GAIS - Brage	0:2
16.09.20	Brage - GAIS	2:1
28.06.20	GAIS - Brage	0:1
30.08.19	Brage - GAIS	1:1
19.04.19	GAIS - Brage	0:3
06.08.18	GAIS - Brage	1:1

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