Match Info

National League South - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Focus Community Arena (Hemel Hempstead)


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Farnham Town

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.30	2.90
	1.92	3.35	3.35
	2.20	3.56	3.11
	2.16	3.59	3.05	Watch
	2.14	3.50	3.05
	2.10	3.42	3.02
	2.09	3.40	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.25)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	3.08 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
43.6%

Draw
26.6%

Farnham Town
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

25.8%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

26.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Farnham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnham Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Hemel Hempstead Town - Farnham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Mackenzie M. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Steele J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hemel Hempstead might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Farnham: 5.21% Hemel Hempstead: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Farnham	10	5	2	3	16:14	2	17
12	Hemel Hempstead	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Hemel Hempstead Town - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.27%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
31.08.26	Folkestone Invicta - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Salisbury - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Farnborough - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLW
- Farnham Town
English National League South
31.08.26	Farnham Town - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Horsham - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Farnham Town - Billericay Town	2:4 ✺
18.08.26	Slough Town - Farnham Town	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Farnham Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLWL

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