Match Info

National League South - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	Salisbury		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.25	2.40
	2.52	3.1	2.62
	2.46	3.48	2.76
	2.46	3.48	2.66	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.7
	2.48	3.45	2.66
	2.42	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.79)	3.34 ↓ (3.41)	2.63 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
37.4%

Draw
27.5%

Hemel Hempstead Town
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.2%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Salisbury - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Bradbury C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
83', 1 - 1, Longe-King D. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Campbell R. ⚽,

Preview

Salisbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Salisbury won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Salisbury: 4.6% Hemel Hempstead: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Salisbury	10	5	3	2	18:7	11	18
12	Hemel Hempstead	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Salisbury - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.27%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Hemel Hempstead Town - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.5%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English National League South
15.08.26	Horsham - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Salisbury - Hampton & Richmond Borough	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Salisbury - Havant & Waterlooville	5:0 ✺
English National League South
25.04.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Salisbury - Horsham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWTW
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
18.08.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Farnborough - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	St Albans City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Wealdstone - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
English National League South
28.04.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.04.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Salisbury	1:1
06.12.25	Salisbury - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0
30.11.24	Salisbury - Hemel Hempstead Town	5:0
10.08.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Salisbury	2:2

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