Match Info
National League South - Round 5Date: 29 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Focus Community Arena (Hemel Hempstead)
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Hemel Hempstead Town |
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Weston-super-Mare |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.35 |
3.10 |
2.65 |
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2.43 |
2.95 |
2.75 |
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2.51 |
3.29 |
2.83 |
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2.45 |
3.27 |
2.8 |
 Watch |
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2.45 |
3.25 |
2.75 |
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2.50 |
3.16 |
2.84 |
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2.40 |
3.15 |
2.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.49) |
3.17 ↑
(3.12) |
2.77 ↑
(2.67) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hemel Hempstead Town
37.7% | Draw
29.1% | Weston-super-Mare
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston super Mare Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Campbell R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 73', 1 - 1, Britton L. ⚽,
- 77', 1 - 2, Ash B. ⚽,
- 82', 1 - 3, Ash B. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 1.Hemel Hempstead has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Weston-super-Mare's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Recently, Hemel Hempstead has had a series of away games.Recently, Weston-super-Mare has had a series of home games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:30. (average 1.9:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Hemel Hempstead won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).
Outrights of English National League South for now
Weston-super-Mare: 4.6% Hemel Hempstead: 2.3%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
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| 12 | Hemel Hempstead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Hemel Hempstead Town - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.63%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League South | | | 28.04.26 | Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare | 1:2 penalties | | 31.03.26 | Weston-super-Mare - Hemel Hempstead Town | 0:0 | | 04.11.25 | Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare | 3:0 | | 01.02.25 | Weston-super-Mare - Hemel Hempstead Town | 1:1 | | 11.11.24 | Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare | 0:1 | | 17.02.24 | Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare | 1:2 | | 28.08.23 | Weston-super-Mare - Hemel Hempstead Town | 1:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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