The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Farnborough 33%
Draw 26.3%
Weston-super-Mare 40.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.4%
27.1%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
26.8%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Farnborough - Weston super Mare Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Dawes W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
81', 1 - 1, Bloomfield M. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, Bloomfield M. ⚽,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 19th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farnborough won 2.
Farnborough is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Weston-super-Mare have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Farnborough has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:28 (averaging 1.8:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Farnborough against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 13:9 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Weston-super-Mare
13
5
3
5
21:19
2
18
16
Farnborough
13
5
2
6
12:20
-8
17
Last Results with these Odds
Farnborough - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.42%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.