Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 31

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Hendon		Dartford

	1	X	2
	5.4	4.1	1.49
	5.27	4.79	1.48
	5.33	4.51	1.47	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.62
	6	4.2	1.44
	5.4	4.1	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.27 ↑ (3.73)	4.22 ↑ (3.62)	1.5 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
17.3%

Draw
21.7%

Dartford
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

25.2%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

24.5%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hendon's form might have worsened.

Dartford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dartford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hendon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dartford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hendon - Dartford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Krokhin N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 1 - 1, Olopade D. ⚽,
53', 1 - 2, Bullas H. ⚽,
55', 2 - 2, Sery L. ⚽,
57', 2 - 3, Carruthers S. (Pen),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Hendon is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dartford in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hendon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dartford is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hendon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Last Results with these Odds

Dartford - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.32%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.02.25	Whitehawk - Hendon	2:2 ✺
04.02.25	Cheshunt - Hendon	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Hendon - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Wingate & Finchley - Hendon	3:3 ✺
18.01.25	Hendon - Carshalton Athletic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTLTL
- Dartford
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.02.25	Dartford - Chichester City	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Dartford - Hashtag United	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Bowers & Pitsea - Dartford	1:3 ✺
25.01.25	Dartford - Billericay Town	4:0 ✺
18.01.25	Wingate & Finchley - Dartford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.10.24	Dartford - Hendon	0:0

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