Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Hendon		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.4	2.05
	3	3.45	2.11
	2.89	3.62	2.15
	2.7	3.6	2.15
	3.03	3.38	2.12
	3	3.45	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.51)	3.48 ↑ (3.45)	2.12 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
31.1%

Draw
26%

Carshalton Athletic
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

27.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hendon's form might have worsened.

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carshalton Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Hendon - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
60', 0 - 1, Kader S. ⚽,
79', 0 - 2, Smith D. ⚽,
86', 0 - 3, Bradford T. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 12).

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hendon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Hendon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Last Results with these Odds

Hendon - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.23%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Carshalton Athletic - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.35%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.01.25	Hendon - Horsham	0:4 ✺
04.01.25	Hendon - Dover Athletic	0:3 ✺
28.12.24	Cray Wanderers - Hendon	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Hendon - Potters Bar Town	0:4 ✺
21.12.24	Chichester City - Hendon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.01.25	Carshalton Athletic - Whitehawk	2:2 ✺
04.01.25	Horsham - Carshalton Athletic	3:0 ✺
01.01.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Carshalton Athletic - Chichester City	1:2 ✺
26.12.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Carshalton Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.10.24	Carshalton Athletic - Hendon	2:2
29.03.14	Hendon - Carshalton Athletic	1:0
04.03.14	Carshalton Athletic - Hendon	0:2

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