Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 26

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Hanwell Town		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.78
	3.62	4.15	1.81	Watch
	3	3.3	2
	3.81	3.64	1.77
	3.6	3.8	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (3.7)	3.7 ↓ (3.87)	1.83 (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanwell Town
25.7%

Draw
24.6%

Poole Town
49.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.1%

24%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

23.1%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanwell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Hanwell Town - Poole Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Gwengwe S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 1, Duncan D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hanwell Town won 2.

Hanwell Town has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Poole is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Poole might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hanwell Town won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hanwell Town won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Poole	12	9	0	3	22:13	9	27
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10:14	-4	11

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Hanwell Town: 0.38%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanwell Town
English Southern League South Division
06.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Hanwell Town	3:2 ✺
27.12.25	Hanwell Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Walton & Hersham - Hanwell Town	5:0 ✺
16.12.25	Hanwell Town - Hungerford Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hanwell Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
03.01.26	Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway	7:0 ✺
27.12.25	Wimborne Town - Poole Town	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Poole Town - Sholing	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Poole Town - Uxbridge	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Poole Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.08.25	Poole Town - Hanwell Town	1:0
01.03.25	Hanwell Town - Poole Town	3:3
23.11.24	Poole Town - Hanwell Town	1:2
03.02.24	Poole Town - Hanwell Town	0:3
23.09.23	Hanwell Town - Poole Town	0:3
21.03.23	Hanwell Town - Poole Town	0:2
26.11.22	Poole Town - Hanwell Town	3:2

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