Match Info
National League North - Round 5Date: 29 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Edgar Street (Hereford)
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Hereford |
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Chester |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.10 |
3.30 |
2.05 |
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3.00 |
3.25 |
2.10 |
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2.90 |
3.25 |
2.12 |
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3.18 |
3.62 |
2.18 |
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3.03 |
3.78 |
2.11 |
 Watch |
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3.00 |
3.55 |
2.14 |
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3.23 |
3.44 |
2.14 |
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3.10 |
3.40 |
2.08 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.84) |
3.45 ↓
(3.46) |
2.12 ↓
(2.19) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hereford
29.9% | Draw
26.6% | Chester
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-0.7%)Hereford - Chester Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 1 - 0, Phillips B. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Waters B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hereford won 1.Hereford is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Chester is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).Recently, Hereford has had a series of home games. Chester will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hereford won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.7:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Hereford won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Hereford: 11.21% Chester: 10.41%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 23 |
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| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Hereford - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.1%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Chester - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 41.6%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 24.02.26 | Hereford - Chester | 5:2 | | 25.11.25 | Chester - Hereford | 1:1 | | 05.04.25 | Hereford - Chester | 2:2 | | 02.11.24 | Chester - Hereford | 3:0 | | 20.02.24 | Hereford - Chester | 1:1 | | 05.09.23 | Chester - Hereford | 1:2 | | 28.02.23 | Hereford - Chester | 1:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
