Match Info

National League North - Round 46

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Edgar Street (Hereford)


	Hereford		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.1
	3.2	3.3	1.98
	3.05	3.5	2.13
	3	3.35	2.27
	3.1	3.38	2.24	Watch
	2.88	3.76	2.19
	3.15	3.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.63)	3.48 ↓ (3.75)	2.14 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
30.5%

Draw
26.5%

Scunthorpe United
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

24%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

25.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Hereford - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Ubaezuonu C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Hereford is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Scunthorpe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Scunthorpe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hereford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.7:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Hereford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
21.04.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Hereford	5:1 ✺
18.04.25	Hereford - Leamington	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Oxford City - Hereford	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Hereford - Chester	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Farsley - Hereford	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWTW
- Scunthorpe United
English National League North
21.04.25	Scunthorpe United - Peterborough Sports	5:0 ✺
18.04.25	King`s Lynn Town - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Scunthorpe United - Spennymoor Town	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Radcliffe - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Scunthorpe United - Southport	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.12.24	Scunthorpe United - Hereford	0:0
06.04.24	Scunthorpe United - Hereford	4:1
02.12.23	Hereford - Scunthorpe United	1:5

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