Match Info

National League - Round 15

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Jakemans Community Stadium (Boston)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Boston United		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.15
	3.1	3.4	2.15
	3.16	3.64	2.17
	3.45	2.51	2.58	Watch
	3.04	3.55	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.33)	3.32 ↓ (3.63)	2.25 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
29.8%

Draw
28.3%

Scunthorpe United
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

25.3%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

24.5%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Scunthorpe United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scunthorpe United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boston United - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lovett R. (G) 15. Carson M. 4. Teale C. 17. Lankshear A. 5. Mills Z. (C) 8. Hill D. 6. Sloggett G. 25. Waldock L. 40. Lavinier M. 11. Donnelly K. 14. John-Lewis L. N.	31. Watson R. (G) 21. Starbuck J. 4. Belehouan J. 5. Evans W. 3. Horton B. 10. Roberts C. (C) 8. Beestin A. 17. Ewing O. 11. Rowley J. 9. Whitehall D. 7. Howe D.
Substitutes
7. Coyle R. 18. Fogarty T. 2. Grist B. 16. Hiwula J. 21. Jones B. (G) 3. Kelly M. 27. Norkett M.	18. Brogan M. 23. Chadwick B. 22. Dawson J. 15. Eze D. 20. Scales K. 14. Ubaezuonu C. 25. Westbrooke Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Evans W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, John-Lewis L. N. ⚽,
66', Evans W. ↓, Scales K. ↑,
66', Howe D. ↓, Ubaezuonu C. ↑,
69', Carson M. 🟨,
73', Lavinier M. ↓, Grist B. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Roberts C. (Pen),
78', Whitehall D. ↓, Dawson J. ↑,
78', Mills Z. ↓, Fogarty T. ↑,
87', Carson M. ↓, Coyle R. ↑,
90+10', Lankshear A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In recent matches, Boston United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Scunthorpe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boston United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Scunthorpe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Boston United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Boston United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Boston United - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 27.61%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Scunthorpe United - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.07%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Carlisle United - Boston United	5:2 ✺
English National League Cup
08.10.25	Boston United - Newcastle United U21	1:3 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Gateshead - Boston United	1:3 ✺
01.10.25	Boston United - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Sutton United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWTT
- Scunthorpe United
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Scunthorpe United - King`s Lynn Town	4:2 ✺
English National League
07.10.25	Scunthorpe United - Morecambe	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Scunthorpe United - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
01.10.25	York City - Scunthorpe United	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Southend United - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
27.04.24	Scunthorpe United - Boston United	0:1 penalties
06.01.24	Scunthorpe United - Boston United	2:2
31.10.23	Boston United - Scunthorpe United	1:1

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