Match Info

VENEZUELA: PRIMERA DIVISION - ROUND 7

Date: 17 March 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)


	Hermanos Colmenares		Carabobo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.3
	3.05	2.85	2.25
	3	2.85	2.25
	3.06	2.86	2.21
	3.2	2.75	2.35
	3.16	3.14	2.27	Watch
	3.2	2.85	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.95)	2.86 ↓ (3.03)	2.28 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermanos Colmenares
29%

Draw
31.5%

Carabobo
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

30%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.4%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermanos Colmenares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermanos Colmenares than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Hermanos Colmenares - Carabobo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hermanos Colmenares will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Carabobo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Hermanos Colmenares is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carabobo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carabobo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hermanos Colmenares won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Hermanos Colmenares won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Hermanos Colmenares
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.03.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Angostura	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Monagas - Hermanos Colmenares	2:1 ✺
24.02.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Deportivo La Guaira	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Caracas - Hermanos Colmenares	2:2 ✺
10.02.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Deportivo Táchira	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLTTW
- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.03.23	Carabobo - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Angostura - Carabobo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.03.23	Atlético Mineiro - Carabobo	3:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.02.23	Carabobo - Deportivo Táchira	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.02.23	Carabobo - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
21.07.22	Carabobo - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0
30.04.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Carabobo	2:3

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