Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 5

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado (Valencia)

Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)


	Carabobo		Deportivo Táchira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.25	2.95	3.25
	2.81	2.36	3.45	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.25
	2.16	3.1	3.17	Watch
	2.06	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.2)	2.89 ↓ (3.01)	3.26 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carabobo
40.1%

Draw
31.7%

Deportivo Táchira
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.4%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

31.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Deportivo Táchira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Carabobo - Deportivo Táchira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bruera L. (C) 6. Bahachille A. 32. Neira E. 4. Aponte L. 26. Nunez M. 2. Guaramato M. 15. Cova M. 5. Castillo E. 16. Lopez F. 14. Berios J. 19. Martinez L.	1. Araque A. (G) 45. Provenzano F. 13. Camacho P. (C) 4. Fratta G. 2. Sanchez J. 25. Perez A. 23. Hernandez O. 27. Zuniga L. 10. Sosa C. 70. Ramirez H. 9. Pollero R.
Substitutes
28. Bilbao J. 13. Duran J. 3. Fuentes J. 21. Gonzalez A. 30. Mendoza S. 23. Meza D. 17. Oliveros F. 10. Orozco Y. 8. Perez J. 24. Ramirez E. 12. Roa K. (G) 7. Tortolero E.	20. Calzadilla C. 50. Camargo J. (G) 5. Fioravanti L. 11. Gonzalez L. 31. Mendez C. 6. Montanez A. 22. Oliveros A. 14. Palmezano B. 7. Penaranda A. 44. Tamiche E. 8. Villalpando J. 41. Wilches W.
Coaches
Farias D.	Recoba A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Perez A. 🟨,
37', Perez A. ↓, Fioravanti L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nunez M. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
57', Martinez L. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
57', Lopez F. ↓, Tortolero E. ↑,
61', Zuniga L. ↓, Penaranda A. ↑,
62', Sanchez J. ↓, Tamiche E. ↑,
69', Aponte L. 🟨,
74', Penaranda A. 🟨,
74', Guaramato M. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Castillo E. ⚽, Cova M. (A),
78', Hernandez O. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
78', Ramirez H. ↓, Villalpando J. ↑,
79', Berios J. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Gonzalez L. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', Pollero R. 🟨,
90+7', Ramirez E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 1.

In recent matches, Carabobo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deportivo Táchira is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Carabobo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carabobo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:32. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dep. Tachira	11	7	2	2	24:14	10	23
4	Carabobo	11	5	3	3	12:8	4	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carabobo FC
Copa Sudamericana
21.05.26	Blooming - Carabobo	0:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
17.05.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.26	Carabobo - River Plate	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLL
- Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division
17.05.26	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Táchira	0:1 ✺
12.05.26	Deportivo Táchira - Metropolitanos	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
09.05.26	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	3:1
25.04.26	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	2:1
01.11.25	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	1:2
26.10.25	Carabobo - Deportivo Táchira	1:1
04.10.25	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	3:0
22.05.25	Carabobo - Deportivo Táchira	2:4
17.05.25	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	1:0

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