The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carabobo 39%
Draw 28.7%
Deportivo Táchira 32.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.1%
28.6%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
26.8%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-4%)
Carabobo - Deportivo Táchira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Silva M. (G) 13. Duran J. 32. Neira E. 4. Aponte L. (C) 8. Perez J. 14. Berios J. 15. Cova M. 26. Nunez M. 11. Machis D. 24. Ramirez E. 9. Castillo B.
30. Vargas E. (G) 45. Provenzano F. 41. Wilches W. 2. Sanchez J. (C) 44. Tamiche E. 20. Calzadilla C. 23. Hernandez O. 31. Mendez C. 38. Lozano G. 37. Duarte Arias J. D. 7. Penaranda A.
Substitutes
20. Arzu E. 28. Bilbao J. 5. Castillo E. 3. Fuentes J. 2. Guaramato M. 16. Lopez F. 19. Martinez L. 30. Mendoza S. 23. Meza D. 17. Oliveros F. 10. Orozco Y. 12. Roa K. (G)
88. Alfonzo D. 13. Camacho P. 18. Chacon E. 48. Diaz D. 4. Fratta G. 40. Morales L. (G) 14. Palmezano B. 25. Perez A. 51. Pernia M. 9. Pollero R. 19. Rondon A. 27. Zuniga L.
Coaches
Farias D.
Recoba A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Mendez C. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Provenzano F. ⚽, Penaranda A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Ramirez E. ⚽, Perez J. (A),
55', 1 - 2, Duran J. (Own goal),
57', Cova M. 🟨,
59', Hernandez O. ↓, Palmezano B. ↑,
60', Lozano G. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
61', Cova M. ↓, Mendoza S. ↑,
61', Machis D. ↓, Orozco Y. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Ramirez E. ⚽, Orozco Y. (A),
69', Berios J. ↓, Meza D. ↑,
76', Vargas E. ↓, Morales L. ↑,
76', Duarte Arias J. D. ↓, Alfonzo D. ↑,
83', Duran J. ↓, Guaramato M. ↑,
83', Nunez M. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
88', Mendez C. ↓, Fratta G. ↑,
90+5', Palmezano B. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 1.
Carabobo is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Deportivo Táchira is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Carabobo has recorded 3 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:32 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Carabobo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:13 goals (averaging 1.2:1.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Carabobo - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.14%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.