Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - ROUND 9

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)


	Hermanos Colmenares		Universidad Central

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3	3.7
	1.97	3.05	3.45
	1.88	2.94	3.69
	1.95	3	3.9
	1.88	3.4	4.05	Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.69)	3.09 ↓ (3.45)	3.73 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermanos Colmenares
46.6%

Draw
29.2%

Universidad Central
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.6%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

18.9%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermanos Colmenares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hermanos Colmenares's form might have worsened.

Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Central's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermanos Colmenares than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hermanos Colmenares that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Hermanos Colmenares - Universidad Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Hermanos Colmenares will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Universidad Central will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hermanos Colmenares: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 15).

Recent matches Hermanos Colmenares is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universidad Central has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hermanos Colmenares is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hermanos Colmenares won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Hermanos Colmenares won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Hermanos Colmenares
Venezuelan Primera Division
31.03.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0 ✺
17.03.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Carabobo	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Angostura	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Monagas - Hermanos Colmenares	2:1 ✺
24.02.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Deportivo La Guaira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTLT
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
02.04.23	Universidad Central - Angostura	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Deportivo Táchira - Universidad Central	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Universidad Central - Monagas	0:2 ✺
03.03.23	Mineros de Guayana - Universidad Central	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Universidad Central - Caracas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
14.08.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Universidad Central	2:0
10.04.22	Universidad Central - Hermanos Colmenares	0:1
Venezuelan Segunda Division
10.12.20	Hermanos Colmenares - Universidad Central	1:0

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