Match Info

VENEZUELA: Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Referee: Uzcategui J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	GOL TV Play, GOL TV Play


	Universidad Central		Angostura

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.85	3.4
	2.15	3	3.5
	2.13	3	3.68
	2.16	3.05	3.63	Watch
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.12	3.08	3.34	Watch
	2.21	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.6)	3 ↑ (2.8)	3.42 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Central
42.7%

Draw
30.6%

Angostura
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

32.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

32.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Central's performance.

Angostura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Angostura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angostura than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Angostura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	13.6%	22.7%

Universidad Central - Angostura Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Universidad Central will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Angostura will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad Central: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva M. (G) 2. Bonilla P. 3. Anzola I. 27. Carrillo D. 24. Cumana Y. 10. Sole F. 30. Gonzalez A. 15. Ortiz J. 20. Alcocer B. 17. Hurtado B. 21. Ortiz C. (C)	1. Lopez V. (G) 18. Lovera J. 4. Montanez A. 13. Matos A. 16. Silgado J. 80. Gomez C. 21. Moreno D. 28. Pacheco J. 26. Zamora T. 10. Contreras A. 11. Maza R.
Substitutes
28. Alvarado J. 16. De Sousa D. 13. Gonzalez J. 32. Hernandez S. 26. Huice F. 14. Mendoza K. 12. Murillo Y. 25. Polo Jean 22. Reyes J. (G) 77. Sierra C. 18. Soto J. 11. Vargas J.	8. Cardozo A. 24. Gallo M. (G) 31. Gomez J. 2. Graterol J. 5. Pereira E. 79. Roca C. 7. Rondon J. 3. Saab K. 9. Velasco A.
Coaches
Sasso D.	Castillo O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ortiz J. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Ortiz C. ⚽, Murillo Y. (A),
59', Lovera J. 🟨,
62', Alcocer B. ↓, Sierra C. ↑,
62', Moreno D. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
62', Gomez C. ↓, Pereira E. ↑,
65', Ortiz C. 🟨,
73', Hurtado B. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
75', Pacheco J. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
86', Iribarren N. 🟨,
87', Cumana Y. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
87', Sole F. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
89', Contreras A. ↓, Cardozo A. ↑,
89', Maza R. ↓, Graterol J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad Central won 2.

Universidad Central is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Angostura is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Universidad Central have a series of home games.

In this match Universidad Central is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Universidad Central won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Central won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Copa Venezuela
11.07.24	Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira	0:1 penalties ✺
07.07.24	Universidad Central - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Deportivo Nueva Esparta - Universidad Central	1:2 ✺
30.06.24	Universidad Central - Academia Anzoátegui	0:0 ✺
19.06.24	Universidad Central - Deportivo Nueva Esparta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWTW
- Angostura FC
Copa Venezuela
11.07.24	Angostura - Monagas	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Atlético La Cruz - Angostura	0:1 penalties ✺
03.07.24	Angostura - Fundación AIFI	3:0 ✺
20.06.24	Fundación AIFI - Angostura	0:1 ✺
13.06.24	Angostura - Bolivar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
04.02.24	Angostura - Universidad Central	0:0
11.08.23	Angostura - Universidad Central	1:1
02.04.23	Universidad Central - Angostura	1:2
Venezuelan Segunda Division
13.11.20	Universidad Central - Angostura	3:1
27.10.19	Angostura - Universidad Central	0:1
19.10.19	Universidad Central - Angostura	1:1
21.09.19	Universidad Central - Angostura	1:1

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