Match Info

Date: 20 September 2022, Tuesday


	Herne Bay		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.65
	3.95	3.55	1.65
	3.95	3.7	1.7
	4.33	3.9	1.75
	4.2	3.4	1.67
	4.25	3.88	1.67
	4.2	3.75	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.8)	3.7 ↓ (3.74)	1.68 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herne Bay
21.8%

Draw
24.4%

Hornchurch
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

24.3%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

24%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herne Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herne Bay than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Herne Bay - Hornchurch Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Herne Bay will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Hornchurch will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Herne Bay is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hornchurch is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Herne Bay have a series of guest games.

Recently Hornchurch have a series of home games.

In this match Hornchurch is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Herne Bay FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.09.22	Margate - Herne Bay	4:0 ✺
29.08.22	Folkestone Invicta - Herne Bay	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Herne Bay - Kingstonian	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Bowers & Pitsea - Herne Bay	2:1 ✺
16.08.22	Haringey Borough - Herne Bay	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLW
- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.09.22	Hornchurch - Corinthian-Casuals	5:0 ✺
29.08.22	Hornchurch - Bishops Stortford	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Canvey Island - Hornchurch	2:1 ✺
20.08.22	Hornchurch - Hastings United	3:0 ✺
16.08.22	Hornchurch - Enfield Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW

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