Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 38

Date: 16 April 2024, Tuesday


	Canvey Island		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.4	1.43
	5.5	4.5	1.44
	5.4	4.76	1.46
	5.4	4.76	1.47
	4	5	1.5
	6.11	4.39	1.45
	5.5	4.5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.31 ↓ (5.97)	4.62 ↓ (4.81)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canvey Island
17.3%

Draw
19.8%

Hornchurch
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

19.2%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

18.5%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canvey Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Canvey Island - Hornchurch Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Canvey Island will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hornchurch will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Sach B. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Hoban T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Adebiyi E. ⚽,
63', 3 - 1, Hubble C. (Pen),
69', 4 - 1, Higgins S. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Canvey Island won 2.

Canvey Island is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hornchurch is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Canvey Island could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hornchurch is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Canvey Island won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Canvey Island won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.04.24	Canvey Island - Dulwich Hamlet	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Canvey Island - Lewes	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Whitehawk - Canvey Island	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Canvey Island - Hashtag United	2:2 ✺
19.03.24	Canvey Island - Horsham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWTL
- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.04.24	Margate - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
09.04.24	Hornchurch - Cray Wanderers	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Hornchurch - Chatham Town	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Hornchurch - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
26.03.24	Hornchurch - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.12.23	Hornchurch - Canvey Island	2:0
14.01.23	Hornchurch - Canvey Island	1:3
27.08.22	Canvey Island - Hornchurch	2:1
10.03.15	Hornchurch - Canvey Island	2:0
18.10.14	Canvey Island - Hornchurch	0:3
21.04.14	Canvey Island - Hornchurch	1:1
25.02.14	Hornchurch - Canvey Island	1:1

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