Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 31

Date: 14 February 2023, Tuesday


	Herne Bay		Margate

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.3
	2.65	3.26	2.54
	2.7	3.4	2.2
	2.6	3.48	2.41
	2.65	3.4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.07)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	2.36 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herne Bay
34.7%

Draw
26.8%

Margate
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

25.8%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

27.2%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herne Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Herne Bay's performance.

Margate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Margate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herne Bay than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Herne Bay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Margate than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Margate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Herne Bay - Margate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Margate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Herne Bay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Herne Bay FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.02.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Herne Bay	1:2 ✺
31.01.23	Herne Bay - Potters Bar Town	1:3 ✺
28.01.23	Canvey Island - Herne Bay	3:2 ✺
21.01.23	Herne Bay - Corinthian-Casuals	3:1 ✺
07.01.23	Herne Bay - Bowers & Pitsea	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLWW
- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.02.23	Margate - Bishops Stortford	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Hastings United - Margate	0:0 ✺
01.02.23	Kingstonian - Margate	0:2 ✺
28.01.23	Margate - Wingate & Finchley	3:1 ✺
24.01.23	Margate - Bowers & Pitsea	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.09.22	Margate - Herne Bay	4:0
English FA Cup
30.09.17	Margate - Herne Bay	2:0

Herne Bay - Margate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide