Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 41

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Margate		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	1.83
	3.31	4.01	1.9
	3.31	4.02	1.9
	2.75	4	1.91
	3.44	3.71	1.92
	3.5	3.75	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.88)	3.87 ↑ (3.71)	1.88 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Margate
27.7%

Draw
23.6%

Wingate & Finchley
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

24.7%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

24.1%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Margate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wingate & Finchley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Margate than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Pinder J. ⚽,
48', 1 - 1, Carvalho R. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Greenhalgh B. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Margate won 3.

Margate is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wingate & Finchley in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wingate & Finchley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Margate won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Margate won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.04.24	Margate - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
11.04.24	Potters Bar Town - Margate	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Kingstonian - Margate	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Margate - Cray Wanderers	1:1 ✺
26.03.24	Cheshunt - Margate	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWWTW
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.04.24	Wingate & Finchley - Haringey Borough	1:0 ✺
09.04.24	Wingate & Finchley - Hastings United	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Concord Rangers - Wingate & Finchley	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Wingate & Finchley - Potters Bar Town	3:1 ✺
30.03.24	Hornchurch - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.11.23	Wingate & Finchley - Margate	1:0
28.01.23	Margate - Wingate & Finchley	3:1
12.11.22	Wingate & Finchley - Margate	1:2
18.12.21	Margate - Wingate & Finchley	0:1
14.08.21	Wingate & Finchley - Margate	0:1
10.03.20	Margate - Wingate & Finchley	1:0
20.04.19	Wingate & Finchley - Margate	0:1

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